|
E-Mini Index Futures:
S&P 500 E-mini SBV Indicator Example
June 2, 2006In the following example, we
describe a simple trading system based on our SBV indicator:
-
Once the SBV indicator has
dropped below minus 66% (the SBV indicator will show green), wait
for it to rally above that level, then enter a long position;
-
Take profits once the price / index
has risen to your pre-determined profit target level OR when the SBV
indicator exceeds plus 66% (the SBV indicator will show red),
whichever occurs first;
-
Take losses if the price / index
declines below your pre-defined stop loss level.
In the example below, you can see how
this trading system was used to go long the S&P 500 e-mini. In this
example, a 5-point advance was pre-determined as a satisfactory profit
target; a decline of 5 points was set as the stop-loss level.
Chart 1: Establishing a
long position based on the SBV indicator. S&P 500 E-mini.

|
Date |
Trade
Motivations |
Index |
Decision |
date |
Trade Motivations |
Decision |
Index |
|
06/02/06 09:59 |
SBV indicator shows green. SBV
indicator dropped below minus 66% and then started to rally
above that level. |
1284.75 |
Buy |
06/02/06 10:45 |
S&P 500 index
advanced 5
points. |
Sell |
1289.75 |
|
06/02/06 12:02 |
SBV indicator shows green. SBV
indicator dropped below minus 66% and then started to rally
above that level. |
1282.50 |
Buy |
06/02/06 13:28 |
S&P 500 index
advanced 5
points. |
Sell |
1287.50 |
Important: The 66% level for the SBV
indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at
the time the examples above were selected. In order to establish the optimal
critical levels for the SBV indicator, a trader should consider the current
market situation and review a chart history of prior volume surges including
their magnitude (i.e., the level the SBV indicator reached). Furthermore, it
is important to look at more than one chart and to use multiple timeframes.
For instance, while a volume surge may look imposing and appear to be
critical on a 2-hour or a 1-day chart, the very same surge may not look
nearly as significant on a 5-day chart. A prominent surge appearing on a
1-day chart could well affect index levels and bring about a one to five
point reversal. In contrast, a prominent volume surge on a 5-day chart may
prompt a reversal of 5 to 10 points.
More Examples:
| Date |
E-mini |
Number of Trades |
|
April 23, 2007 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
|
April 17, 2007 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
3 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades |
|
February 17, 2007 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
3 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades |
|
February 2, 2007 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
4 "Long" and 4 "Short" trades |
|
January 23, 2007 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
3 "Long" and 4 "Short" trades |
|
December 19, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
3 "Long" and 2 "Short" trades |
|
December 11, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
2 "Long" and 2 "Short" trades |
|
November 29, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
4 "Long" and 4 "Short" trades |
|
August 11, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
2 "Long" and 1 "Short" trades |
| July
19, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
4 "Long" and 5 "Short" trades |
| July
18, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
5 "Long" and 6 "Short" trades |
| July
17, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
2 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades |
| July
11, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
5 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades |
| July
10, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
4 "Long" and 5 "Short" trades |
| July
7, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
3 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades |
| June
28, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
| June
26, 2006 |
NASDAQ 100 E-mini |
1 "Short" and 1 "Long" trade |
| June
23, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
| June
22, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Long" trade |
| June
21, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
| June
20, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
| June
19, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Long" trade |
| June
14, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
1 "Long" and 1 "Short" trade |
| June
13, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
| June 9, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
1 "Long" trade |
| June 8, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Long" trade |
| June 7, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
| June 6, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Long" and 1 "Short" trade |
| June 2, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
2 "Long" trades |
| May 17, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
2 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades |
| May 5, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
2 "Short" trades |
| April 26, 2006 |
Dow E-mini |
1 "Long" and 1 "Short" trade |
| March 30, 2006 |
NASDAQ 100 E-mini |
2 "Long" trades |
|