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E-Mini Index Futures:
S&P 500 E-mini SBV Indicator Example


June 19, 2006

Important: The 66% level for the SBV indicator was determined in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time the examples below were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels for the SBV indicator, traders should consider their personal risk tolerance, the prevailing market conditions, and review a chart history of prior volume surges (including the magnitude - i.e., the level reached by the SBV indicator).

Our unique charts give the ability to back-test any system adjustment you make. You can go back a few years in a history (use the scroll buttons found on the left and right bottom corner of the chart).

In the following example, we used a simple trading system based on our SBV indicator:

  1. Once the SBV indicator has dropped below minus 66% (the SBV indicator will show green), wait for it to rally above that level, then enter a long position;
  2. Take profits once the price / index has risen to your pre-determined profit target level OR when the SBV indicator exceeds plus 66% (the SBV indicator will show red), whichever occurs first;
  3. Take a loss if the price / index declines below your pre-defined stop loss level.

The system outlined above is very simple. Traders can build on this system by embedding additional rules and changing the parameters to suit their own trading style.

In the example below, a 5-point advance was pre-determined as a satisfactory profit target while a decline of 5 points was set as the stop-loss level. We can distinguish futures traders who prefer to close out positions by the market close, and those who do not mind holding positions overnight. Traders who always close position by the end of trading may wish to consider additional trading rules so as to avoid closing a trade at a bad moment. They could for instance:

  • Refrain from opening a trade if less than hour remains until the market closes;
  • Reduce the target profit level from 5 points (as in our example) to 2 points if one hour or less remains in the trading day.

Chart 1: Establishing a long position based on the SBV indicator.
S&P 500 E-mini. VMA1 = 30-min


More Examples:
Date E-mini Number of Trades
April 23, 2007 Russell 2000 E-mini 1 "Short" trade
April 17, 2007 S&P 500 E-mini 3 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades
February 17, 2007 S&P 500 E-mini 3 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades
February 2, 2007 S&P 500 E-mini 4 "Long" and 4 "Short" trades
January 23, 2007 Russell 2000 E-mini 3 "Long" and 4 "Short" trades
December 19, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 3 "Long" and 2 "Short" trades
December 11, 2006 Russell 2000 E-mini 2 "Long" and 2 "Short" trades
November 29, 2006 Russell 2000 E-mini 4 "Long" and 4 "Short" trades
August 11, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 2 "Long" and 1 "Short" trades
July 19, 2006 Russell 2000 E-mini 4 "Long" and 5 "Short" trades
July 18, 2006 Russell 2000 E-mini 5 "Long" and 6 "Short" trades
July 17, 2006 Russell 2000 E-mini 2 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades
July 11, 2006 Russell 2000 E-mini 5 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades
July 10, 2006 Russell 2000 E-mini 4 "Long" and 5 "Short" trades
July 7, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 3 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades
June 28, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 1 "Short" trade
June 26, 2006 NASDAQ 100 E-mini 1 "Short" and 1 "Long" trade
June 23, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 1 "Short" trade
June 22, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 1 "Long" trade
June 21, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 1 "Short" trade
June 20, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 1 "Short" trade
June 19, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 1 "Long" trade
June 14, 2006 Russell 2000 E-mini 1 "Long" and 1 "Short" trade
June 13, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 1 "Short" trade
June 9, 2006 Russell 2000 E-mini 1 "Long" trade
June 8, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 1 "Long" trade
June 7, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 1 "Short" trade
June 6, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 1 "Long" and 1 "Short" trade
June 2, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 2 "Long" trades
May 17, 2006 Russell 2000 E-mini 2 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades
May 5, 2006 S&P 500 E-mini 2 "Short" trades
April 26, 2006 Dow E-mini 1 "Long" and 1 "Short" trade
March 30, 2006 NASDAQ 100 E-mini 2 "Long" trades

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