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E-Mini Index Futures:
S&P 500 E-mini SBV Indicator Example
June 19, 2006
Important:
The 66% level for the SBV indicator was determined
in relation to the prevailing market conditions at the time the examples
below were selected. In order to establish the optimal critical levels
for the SBV indicator, traders should consider their personal risk
tolerance, the prevailing market conditions, and review a chart history of
prior volume surges (including the magnitude - i.e., the level reached by
the SBV indicator).
Our unique charts give the ability to back-test any
system adjustment you make. You can go back a few years in a history (use
the scroll buttons found on the left and right bottom corner of the chart).
In the following example, we used a simple trading
system based on our SBV indicator:
- Once
the SBV indicator has dropped below minus 66% (the SBV indicator will
show green), wait for it to rally above that level, then enter a long
position;
- Take
profits once the price / index has risen to your pre-determined profit
target level OR when the SBV indicator exceeds plus 66% (the SBV
indicator will show red), whichever occurs first;
- Take a
loss if the price / index declines below your pre-defined stop loss
level.
The system outlined above is very simple.
Traders can build on this system by embedding additional rules and
changing the parameters to suit their own trading style.
In the example below, a 5-point advance was
pre-determined as a satisfactory profit target while a decline of 5
points was set as the stop-loss level. We can distinguish futures
traders who prefer to close out positions by the market close, and those
who do not mind holding positions overnight. Traders who always close
position by the end of trading may wish to consider additional trading
rules so as to avoid closing a trade at a bad moment. They could for
instance:
-
Refrain from opening a trade if less than hour remains until the
market closes;
-
Reduce the target profit level from 5 points (as in our example) to
2 points if one hour or less remains in the trading day.
Chart 1: Establishing a
long position based on the SBV indicator.
S&P 500 E-mini. VMA1 = 30-min

More Examples:
| Date |
E-mini |
Number of Trades |
|
April 23, 2007 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
|
April 17, 2007 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
3 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades |
|
February 17, 2007 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
3 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades |
|
February 2, 2007 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
4 "Long" and 4 "Short" trades |
|
January 23, 2007 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
3 "Long" and 4 "Short" trades |
|
December 19, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
3 "Long" and 2 "Short" trades |
|
December 11, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
2 "Long" and 2 "Short" trades |
|
November 29, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
4 "Long" and 4 "Short" trades |
|
August 11, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
2 "Long" and 1 "Short" trades |
| July
19, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
4 "Long" and 5 "Short" trades |
| July
18, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
5 "Long" and 6 "Short" trades |
| July
17, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
2 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades |
| July
11, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
5 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades |
| July
10, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
4 "Long" and 5 "Short" trades |
| July
7, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
3 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades |
| June
28, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
| June
26, 2006 |
NASDAQ 100 E-mini |
1 "Short" and 1 "Long" trade |
| June
23, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
| June
22, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Long" trade |
| June
21, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
| June
20, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
| June
19, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Long" trade |
| June
14, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
1 "Long" and 1 "Short" trade |
| June
13, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
| June 9, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
1 "Long" trade |
| June 8, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Long" trade |
| June 7, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Short" trade |
| June 6, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
1 "Long" and 1 "Short" trade |
| June 2, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
2 "Long" trades |
| May 17, 2006 |
Russell 2000 E-mini |
2 "Long" and 3 "Short" trades |
| May 5, 2006 |
S&P 500 E-mini |
2 "Short" trades |
| April 26, 2006 |
Dow E-mini |
1 "Long" and 1 "Short" trade |
| March 30, 2006 |
NASDAQ 100 E-mini |
2 "Long" trades |
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